Ukrainian trends and Turkish trends

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Can we get positive results from the “fourth round” of the Russian-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations that began in Gomel, Belarus and the continuation of the video conference? Two points stand out. There was silence on both negotiating teams, suggesting that the discussion replaced the ultimatum. Second, the market believes that this time it will produce results.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s team rated the previous meeting as the “most constructive” meeting. Behind the scenes in Kyiv, significant progress has been made on the ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, and it is said that a solution will be formed by May at the latest.

But the Russians are still in talks, preparing as if there was no peace. They are preparing to ship the new T-72B3M tank to Ukraine. Thirty of these tanks were first used at a Russian military base in Tajikistan in December 2021. Russia has begun shipping these tanks to Ukraine, which have significantly improved combat capabilities due to their enhanced armor, advanced mine protection technology and maneuverability.

Zelensky can submit to two major priorities of the Russian Federation. Ukraine’s neutrality and the future of Crimea and Donbus in the Moscow sphere of influence. Zelensky wants a face-to-face meeting with Vladimir Putin, stating that “we need to materialize our country’s guarantees” and talks about “difficult negotiations.” The first concrete progress towards a solution between the two countries may be an agreement allowing a temporary ceasefire area confined to the besieged cities. Turkey can play a constructive role in this process. Because the country that took the most concrete step between the two countries was Turkey, where the Antalya Summit is located.

Foreign Minister Mevrut Chabshuol will meet with Russian Foreign Minister Sergeń≠ Vikschol today. He will offer a permanent ceasefire proposal. Then he goes to Ukraine. Due to security risks, the meeting will be held in a safer place in Lviv, not in Kyiv. If both sides look positive, at least try to ease tensions in the area. Ankara’s proposal to both countries is that they will withdraw to the border 22 days ago. Next, I will explain the planning of the six-step negotiation process. But in Russia, Putin has the last word.

On the other hand, the war in Ukraine seems to strengthen Turkey’s direction. Turkey had begun to reorganize its foreign policy before Russia invaded Ukraine. While Ankara normalizes relations with the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Israel, it is also in the process of developing a reconciliation with Armenia. Recently, it has become clear that Turkey and Israel, which have good relations with Russia, can form a new axis.

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Turkey does not want to break its ties with Moscow. The two countries have been on different sides in recent years, from the civil war in Syria and Libya to the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the Nagorno-Karabakh region. However, Ankara continues its efforts for a constructive dialogue with Moscow. Ankara can also play a constructive role in Ukraine at various stages. In this regard, it is not correct to completely close the Moscow Gate.

This development reminded the West of the strategic situation of Turkey, a NATO member, but the visit of German Prime Minister Olaf Scholz was made at the right time in this context.

Comedian, president, hero

Russia has opened the fourth front of its attack in Ukraine by bombing the International Peacekeeping and Security Center in the Leopoli region of Ukraine, a few kilometers from the Polish border.

As Russian troops move forward, Western sympathy for Ukraine takes on unprecedented forms at various levels. Weapons are in large quantities. Mercenaries are publicly summoned to fight the Russian “invaders”. Western sanctions on Russia are raining.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky also presents an image showing that he is in Kyiv, despite the fact that there is a Russian propaganda tool on every occasion. He was the country’s most famous comedian in 2019, but polls showed he lost points, but he won 73% of the votes in the presidential election, but Russia’s aggression operation made him Became a national hero.

Drone war

On the information side of the Ukrainian War, morale is boosted by images of Russian tanks destroyed and captured and Russian positions destroyed by TB2 bilactal drones shared on social media. Wherever you go, you’ll find that Bayraktar is the source of people’s moral motivation. Ukrainians believe that Bayraktar can beat the Russians.

Meanwhile, there was a report from Moscow claiming that Russia had a drone similar to TB2. During the war for almost three weeks, few images of Russian drones were displayed. If the claim is true, where are the footage of a Russian drone attack?