Proposal of “S-400 to Turkey, Ukraine, US F-35 to Turkey”

Ukraine under Russian occupation needs an air defense system. Meanwhile, Turkey has an S-400 air defense system, purchased from Russia, and Washington has stopped selling F-35 fighters accordingly.

“Well, at this stage, will triple games on the Washington, Ankara and Kyiv lines work to” provide God’s justice “? “

In a WSJ analysis article entitled “Turkey’s Russian missiles can protect Ukraine” by former CIA Secretary and Russian and Eurasian expert Paul Kolbe as a way to resolve the Washington-Ankara conflict, Ukrainian Ankara On the contrary, Washington should return Ankara to the F-35 consortium. Kolbe states that “God’s justice” is achieved in this way.

“What about triple games? Let the US help Turkey send the S-400 to Ukraine against Russian fighters. Instead, by offering Turkey a new alternative, F. -35 should start shipping, which “it will also help improve relations with Turkey,” he said.

Kolbe continues his analysis as follows:

“Ukraine’s desperate struggle to repel Russia’s aggression depends on how well it can withstand Russia’s aerial domination. Ukraine has some air defense capabilities, but Russia’s air force is indefinite. In this case Russia’s Ukrainian air domination, Ukrainian ground forces are very vulnerable.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky demanded more aircraft and air defense from the west. Russia has launched air strikes at military airfields and training grounds in western Ukraine, and Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov warns that weapons transport from the west is a “legitimate target” and is longer than Ukraine. It shows the need for high altitude air defense. Pentagon spokesman John Kirby recently said Kyiv needs a land-based air defense system instead of Poland’s MiG-29. Therefore, attempts involving handing over the MiG-29 in Warsaw’s hands to Ukraine and requesting the United States for the F-16 instead were unsuccessful. Ukraine has a small inventory of Soviet-era S-300 mobile missile defense systems. These systems are effective, but quite old and Ukraine needs to use them sparingly. NATO member countries Bulgaria, Greece and Slovakia have S-300s that can be transferred quickly. It is known that NATO is investigating the problem of lending the S-300 in the hands of these countries to Ukraine.

When Turkey signed an agreement with Russia to purchase the S-400, the United States and other allies saw the integration of Russian-made systems into NATO’s air defense system as a serious intelligence threat. In response, the United States ceases to participate in Turkey’s F-35 program, and Congress then visits Ankara under the Countering America’s Advocacy Act of 2017 (CAATSA), where Turkey purchases the F-35. Forbidden. jet. It can also be thought that Vladimir Putin made fun of this crack and conflict within NATO.

There is no doubt that the S-400 will increase Ukraine’s air defense capabilities and the removal of the S-400 from Turkey’s inventory will pave the way for reintegration into Turkey’s F-35 consortium and lifting of sanctions.

Turkey’s air defense gap can be filled in the short term with the battery of US patriots and perhaps the development of Turkey’s own trench (Hisar-U) anti-aircraft system.

It is also symbolic that Putin shot down a fighter that bombed Ukrainian refugees, maternity hospitals and kindergartens with Russian missiles.

Putin, who delivered the systems directly to Turkey, cannot complain that Ankara sent allies and neighbors (Ukraine) to protect these systems from malicious attacks. Last year, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov urged Turkey to buy more S-400s: “This cooperation between Russia and Turkey threatens any country because the system is defensive rather than offensive. Should not be given. “

The delivery of Turkey’s S-400 to Ukraine supports Ukraine, NATO, the United States and Turkey and only harms Russia.

If the Russian-made S-400 sold to Turkey to split NATO was used to shoot down a Russian plane bombing a Ukrainian city, it would be God’s justice.

Who is Paul Corbe

Paul Kolbe, who wrote the analysis at the WSJ, is the director of the Intelligence Project at the Belfer Center for International Studies in Science at Harvard Kennedy School. He previously worked for 25 years as Head of Operations for the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA). Kolbe works in the former Soviet Union and writes expert opinions on topics such as Russia, energy security, policy-making intelligence, US foreign policy, international security and defense, strategy, terrorism, and anti-terrorism intelligence. increase.